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Differences in breast cancer diagnosis by patient presentation in Ontario: a retrospective cohort study

Steven Habbous, Esha Homenauth, Andriana Barisic, Sharmilaa Kandasamy, Vicky Majpruz, Katharina Forster, Marta Yurcan, Anna M. Chiarelli, Patti Groome, Claire M.B. Holloway and Andrea Eisen
April 05, 2022 10 (2) E313-E330; DOI: https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20210254
Steven Habbous
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Esha Homenauth
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Andriana Barisic
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Sharmilaa Kandasamy
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Vicky Majpruz
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Katharina Forster
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Marta Yurcan
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Anna M. Chiarelli
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Patti Groome
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Claire M.B. Holloway
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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Andrea Eisen
Ontario Health (Cancer Care Ontario) (Habbous, Homenauth, Barisic, Kandasamy, Majpruz, Forster, Yurcan, Chiarelli, Holloway, Eisen); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chiarelli), Toronto, Ont.; ICES Queen’s (Groome), Kingston, Ont.; Department of Surgery (Holloway), University of Toronto; Department of Medical Oncology (Eisen), Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ont.
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  • Figure 1:
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    Figure 1:

    Categorization of patients as screened through the Ontario Breast Screening Program (OBSP-screened), screened outside the OBSP (non-OBSP-screened) or symptomatic. Note: ICMS = Integrated Client Management System, OHIP = Ontario Health Insurance Plan.

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    Figure 2:

    (A) The proportion of all patients with breast cancer whose cancer was detected by screening at an Ontario Breast Screening Program (OBSP-screened), by screening outside an OBSP (non-OBSP-screened) or by symptoms. (B) The proportion of patients with breast cancer presumed to be eligible for OBSP (female patients aged 50–74 yr, no previous breast cancer) whose cancer was detected by screening at an OBSP, by screening outside an OBSP or by symptoms.

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    Figure 3:

    Kaplan–Meier plot for overall survival (by whether the patient’s breast cancer was detected by the Ontario Breast Screening Program (OBSP-screened), by screening outside of the OBSP (non-OBSP-screened) or by symptoms and by whether they were referred to an OBSP-affiliated breast assessment site (O-BAS) for diagnosis. We corrected time from diagnosis for lead-time bias.

Tables

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    Table 1:

    Sociodemographic, clinical and tumour characteristics of patients with breast cancer who were or were not referred to a Breast Assessment Site affiliated with the Ontario Breast Screening Program

    CharacteristicNo. (%) of patients*O-BAS v. non-O-BAS BivariateO-BAS v. non-O-BAS Multivariable†
    Non-O-BAS
    n = 8862
    O-BAS
    n = 42 598
    OR (95% CI)p valueOR (95% CI)p value
    Screening status< 0.0001< 0.0001
    Symptomatic5908 (66.7)22 199 (52.1)Ref.Ref.
    Non-OBSP-screened1477 (16.7)8261 (19.4)1.49 (1.40 to 1.58)1.32 (1.23 to 1.41)
    OBSP-screened1477 (16.7)12 138 (28.5)2.19 (2.06 to 2.33)1.68 (1.57 to 1.80)
    Sociodemographic
    Sex
     Female8750 (98.7)42 285 (99.3)Ref.Ref.
     Male112 (1.3)313 (0.7)0.58 (0.47 to 0.72)0.93 (0.73 to 1.19)
    Age, yr, mean ± SD (OR per 10-yr increment)66 ± 14.663 ± 13.50.87 (0.85 to 0.88)0.88 (0.86 to 0.90)
    Age, yr< 0.0001< 0.0001
     < 501328 (15.0)7244 (17.0)Ref.
     50–744833 (54.5)26 048 (61.1)0.99 (0.93 to 1.06)
     > 742701 (30.5)9306 (21.8)0.63 (0.59 to 0.68)
    After-tax neighbourhood income quintile‡< 0.0001< 0.0001
     Highest1756 (19.9)9368 (22.2)Ref.Ref.
     Mid-high1640 (18.6)8235 (19.5)0.94 (0.88 to 1.01)0.91 (0.84 to 0.99)
     Middle1678 (19.1)8291 (19.7)0.93 (0.86 to 1.00)0.93 (0.85 to 1.00)
     Mid-low1797 (20.4)8539 (20.3)0.89 (0.83 to 0.96)0.88 (0.81 to 0.95)
     Lowest1933 (22.0)7695 (18.3)0.75 (0.70 to 0.80)0.77 (0.70 to 0.83)
    Neighbourhood immigrant density‡0.0040.0002
     Least dense5221 (59.4)24 537 (58.1)Ref.Ref.
     Mid-dense2068 (23.5)10 661 (25.2)1.10 (1.04 to 1.16)1.09 (1.01 to 1.17)
     Most dense1497 (17.0)7061 (16.7)1.00 (0.94 to 1.07)0.91 (0.83 to 1.00)
    Rurality‡
     Urban7479 (84.9)37 789 (89.7)Ref.Ref.
     Rural1326 (15.1)4351 (10.3)0.65 (0.61 to 0.69)0.65 (0.59 to 0.71)
    Distance to closest O-BAS, km, mean ± SD (OR per 100-km increment)§15.7 ± 21.611.9 ± 19.20.44 (0.40 to 0.49)0.36 (0.31 to 0.42)
    Clinical
    Charlson Comorbidity Index< 0.00010.0002
     Missing3011 (34.0)16 228 (38.1)1.12 (1.06 to 1.18)1.04 (0.98 to 1.10)
     04318 (48.7)20 825 (48.9)Ref.Ref.
     1935 (10.6)3665 (8.6)0.81 (0.75 to 0.88)0.89 (0.82 to 0.97)
     2316 (3.6)1088 (2.6)0.71 (0.63 to 0.81)0.88 (0.76 to 1.01)
     ≥ 3282 (3.2)792 (1.9)0.58 (0.51 to 0.67)0.78 (0.66 to 0.91)
    Previous breast cancer relative to diagnosis, yr< 0.00010.0005
     Never8074 (91.1)39 541 (92.8)Ref.Ref.
     ≤ 572 (0.8)250 (0.6)0.71 (0.55 to 0.92)1.06 (0.79 to 1.41)
     5–10239 (2.7)852 (2.0)0.73 (0.63 to 0.84)1.21 (1.03 to 1.43)
     ≥ 10477 (5.4)1955 (4.6)0.84 (0.76 to 0.93)1.25 (1.11 to 1.41)
    Previous other cancer relative to diagnosis, yr< 0.00010.15
     Never8180 (92.3)39 563 (92.9)Ref.Ref.
     ≤ 5295 (3.3)1172 (2.8)0.82 (0.72 to 0.94)1.01 (0.87 to 1.17)
     5–10136 (1.5)686 (1.6)1.04 (0.87 to 1.26)1.22 (1.00 to 1.50)
     ≥ 10251 (2.8)1177 (2.8)0.97 (0.84 to 1.11)1.11 (0.95 to 1.29)
    Cancer
    Laterality0.470.03
     Right4288 (48.4)20 701 (48.7)Ref.Ref.
     Left4329 (49.9)21 516 (50.6)1.03 (0.98 to 1.08)1.02 (0.97 to 1.08)
     Bilateral65 (0.7)319 (0.7)1.02 (0.78 to 1.33)1.47 (1.09 to 1.98)
    Cancer stage< 0.0001< 0.0001
     028 (0.3)171 (0.4)0.91 (0.61 to 1.36)1.57 (1.02 to 2.42)
     12755 (31.7)18 463 (44.1)Ref.Ref.
     22861 (32.9)15 707 (37.5)0.82 (0.77 to 0.87)0.91 (0.85 to 0.97)
     31134 (13.0)5023 (12.0)0.66 (0.61 to 0.71)0.75 (0.69 to 0.82)
     41085 (12.5)1343 (3.2)0.19 (0.17 to 0.20)0.23 (0.21 to 0.26)
     Unknown832 (9.6)1167 (2.8)0.21 (0.19 to 0.23)0.37 (0.32 to 0.42)
    Histology< 0.0001< 0.0001
     Ductal6254 (70.6)32 661 (76.7)Ref.Ref.
     Lobular800 (9.0)3689 (8.7)0.88 (0.81 to 0.96)1.00 (0.92 to 1.10)
     Ductal and lobular298 (3.4)1894 (4.4)1.21 (1.07 to 1.38)1.20 (1.05 to 1.38)
     Adenocarcinoma366 (4.1)930 (2.2)0.49 (0.43 to 0.55)0.73 (0.62 to 0.84)
     Mucinous157 (1.8)797 (1.9)0.97 (0.82 to 1.16)1.02 (0.84 to 1.23)
     Other987 (11.1)2627 (6.2)0.51 (0.47 to 0.55)0.89 (0.81 to 0.98)
    Hormone receptor profile0.08< 0.0001
     ER−, PR−, HER2−679 (7.7)3814 (9.0)Ref.Ref.
     ER−, PR−, HER2+325 (3.7)1807 (4.2)0.99 (0.86 to 1.14)1.02 (0.88 to 1.20)
     ER−, PR+, HER2−36 (0.4)182 (0.4)0.90 (0.62 to 1.30)1.10 (0.75 to 1.64)
     ER−, PR+, HER2+20 (0.2)69 (0.2)0.61 (0.37 to 1.02)0.91 (0.53 to 1.57)
     ER+, PR−, HER2−561 (6.3)2751 (6.5)0.87 (0.77 to 0.99)0.87 (0.76 to 0.99)
     ER+, PR−, HER2+204 (2.3)1036 (2.4)0.90 (0.76 to 1.07)0.94 (0.78 to 1.13)
     ER+, PR+, HER2−4379 (49.4)24 116 (56.6)0.98 (0.90 to 1.07)0.90 (0.82 to 0.99)
     ER+, PR+, HER2+473 (5.3)2773 (6.5)1.04 (0.92 to 1.19)0.97 (0.85 to 1.11)
     Missing2185 (24.7)6050 (14.2)0.49 (0.45 to 0.54)0.66 (0.59 to 0.74)
    Topography< 0.0001< 0.0001
     Upper–outer quadrant2754 (31.1)15 672 (36.8)Ref.Ref.
     Breast NOS1452 (16.4)3411 (8.0)0.41 (0.38 to 0.44)0.70 (0.64 to 0.76)
     Overlapping lesion1618 (18.3)7720 (18.1)0.84 (0.78 to 0.90)0.93 (0.87 to 1.00)
     Upper–inner quadrant1007 (11.4)5806 (13.6)1.01 (0.94 to 1.10)0.98 (0.90 to 1.07)
     Lower–outer quadrant721 (8.1)4056 (9.5)0.99 (0.90 to 1.08)1.00 (0.91 to 1.10)
     Central portion503 (5.7)2205 (5.2)0.77 (0.69 to 0.86)0.91 (0.81 to 1.02)
     Lower–inner quadrant470 (5.3)2558 (6.0)0.96 (0.86 to 1.06)0.98 (0.87 to 1.10)
     Nipple236 (2.7)922 (2.2)0.69 (0.59 to 0.80)0.77 (0.66 to 0.91)
     Axillary tail101 (1.1)248 (0.6)0.43 (0.34 to 0.55)0.56 (0.43 to 0.72)
    Other
    Year of diagnosis (row percentages provided)0.010.04
     20131767 (19.9)8037 (18.9)Ref.Ref.
     20141748 (19.7)8447 (19.8)1.06 (0.99 to 1.14)1.03 (0.95 to 1.11)
     20151715 (19.4)8518 (20.0)1.09 (1.02 to 1.18)1.03 (0.96 to 1.12)
     20161882 (21.2)8695 (20.4)1.02 (0.95 to 1.09)0.98 (0.90 to 1.06)
     20171750 (19.7)8901 (20.9)1.12 (1.04 to 1.20)1.10 (1.02 to 1.19)
    • Note: CI = confidence interval, ER = estrogen receptor, HER2 = human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, NOS = not otherwise specified, O-BAS = OBSP-affiliated breast assessment site, OBSP = Ontario Breast Screening Program, OR = odds ratio, PR = progesterone receptor, Ref. = reference category, SD = standard deviation.

    • ↵* Unless indicated otherwise.

    • ↵† n = 49 420; adjusted for screening status, age, neighbourhood income quintile, neighbourhood immigrant density, rurality, distance to the closest O-BAS, Charlson Comorbidity Index, previous breast cancer, previous other cancer, laterality, cancer stage, hormone receptor profile, topography, year of diagnosis and Local Health Integration Network.

    • ↵‡ Adapted from Statistics Canada Postal Code Conversion File and Postal Code Conversion File Plus (June 2017), which is based on data licensed from Canada Post Corporation.16 We used the patient’s postal code at diagnosis.

    • ↵§ Odds ratio reflects the odds of diagnosis in an O-BAS for every 100-km increase in Euclidean distance to the patient’s closest O-BAS. We used the patient’s postal code at diagnosis.

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    Table 2:

    Sociodemographic, clinical and cancer characteristics of patients whose breast cancer was detected by screening or by symptoms

    CharacteristicNo. (%) of patientsOR (95% CI)*p value*
    OBSP-screened
    n = 13 615
    Non-OBSP-screened
    n = 9738
    Symptomatic
    n = 28 107
    OBSP-screened v. symptomaticNon-OBSP-screened v. symptomatic
    O-BAS< 0.0001
     Yes12138 (89.2)8261 (84.8)22199 (79.0)1.74 (1.62 to 1.86)1.32 (1.23 to 1.41)
     No1477 (10.8)1477 (15.2)5908 (21.0)Ref.Ref.
    Sociodemographic
    Sex< 0.0001
     Female13615 (100.0)9714 (99.8)27706 (98.6)NA0.18 (0.12 to 0.28)
     Male0 (0.0)24 (0.3)401 (1.4)NARef.
    Age, yr, mean ± SD (OR per 10-yr increment)63.7 ± 8.062.1 ± 12.263.4 ± 16.11.09 (0.07 to 1.11)0.96 (0.94 to 0.98)< 0.0001
    Neighbourhood income quintile†< 0.0001
     Highest3042 (22.6)2243 (23.3)5839 (21.0)Ref.Ref.
     Mid-high2727 (20.3)1943 (20.2)5205 (18.7)1.03 (0.96 to 1.11)0.99 (0.92 to 1.06)
     Middle2707 (20.1)1870 (19.4)5392 (19.4)1.02 (0.95 to 1.10)0.95 (0.88 to 1.03)
     Mid to low2703 (20.1)1913 (19.9)5720 (20.5)0.97 (0.90 to 1.04)0.94 (0.87 to 1.02)
     Lowest2275 (16.9)1667 (17.3)5686 (20.4)0.84 (0.78 to 0.91)0.85 (0.78 to 0.92)
    Neighbourhood immigrant density†0.07
     Least dense8368 (61.9)5068 (52.4)16322 (58.6)Ref.Ref.
     Mid-dense3124 (23.1)2704 (28.0)6901 (24.8)0.95 (0.89 to 1.01)1.04 (0.98 to 1.11)
     Most dense2018 (14.9)1897 (19.6)4643 (16.7)1.01 (0.93 to 1.10)1.09 (1.00 to 1.19)
    Rurality†0.01
     Urban11765 (87.4)8790 (91.2)24713 (88.7)Ref.Ref.
     Rural1693 (12.6)848 (8.8)3136 (11.3)1.14 (1.05 to 1.24)1,04 (0.94 to 1.15)
    Distance to closest O-BAS, km, mean ± SD (OR per 100-km increment)‡13.2 ± 20.210.8 ± 14.912.8 ± 20.80.96 (0.83 to 1.11)0.87 (0.72 to 1.05)0.32
    Clinical
    Charlson Comorbidity Index< 0.0001
     Missing5328 (39.1)3839 (39.4)10072 (35.8)1.08 (1.03 to 1.13)1.04 (0.99 to 1.10)
     06738 (49.5)4784 (49.1)13 621 (48.5)Ref.Ref.
     11095 (8.0)778 (8.0)2727 (9.7)0.83 (0.76 to 0.91)0.91 (0.83 to 0.99)
     2277 (2.0)185 (1.9)942 (3.4)0.65 (0.56 to 0.76)0.65 (0.55 to 0.76)
     ≥ 3177 (1.3)152 (1.6)745 (2.7)0.52 (0.43 to 0.63)0.71 (0.59 to 0.86)
    Previous breast cancer relative to diagnosis, yr< 0.0001
     Never13576 (99.7)8693 (89.3)25346 (90.2)Ref.Ref.
     ≤ 5< 683 (0.9)235 (0.8)0.03 (0.01 to 0.08)0.90 (0.69 to 1.18)
     5–1017 (0.1)293 (3.0)785 (2.8)0.03 (0.02 to 0.05)1.01 (0.87 to 1.17)
     ≥ 1022 (0.2)669 (6.9)1741 (6.2)0.02 (0.01 to 0.03)1.05 (0.95 to 1.16)
    Previous other cancer relative to diagnosis, yr< 0.0001
     Never12718 (93.4)9096 (93.4)25929 (92.3)Ref.Ref.
     ≤ 5313 (2.3)269 (2.8)885 (3.1)0.63 (0.54 to 0.72)0.96 (0.83 to 1.11)
     5–10221 (1.6)149 (1.5)452 (1.6)0.87 (0.73 to 1.04)1.03 (0.85 to 1.25)
     ≥ 10363 (2.7)224 (2.3)841 (3.0)0.71 (0.63 to 0.82)0.81 (0.69 to 0.95)
    Cancer
    Laterality0.007
     Right6660 (48.9)4735 (48.8)13594 (48.7)Ref.Ref.
     Left6881 (50.6)4909 (50.6)14055 (50.4)0.99 (0.95 to 1.04)1.00 (0.95 to 1.05)
     Bilateral71 (0.5)61 (0.6)252 (0.9)0.59 (0.43 to 0.79)0.75 (0.56 to 1.01)
    Cancer stage< 0.0001
     032 (0.2)62 (0.6)105 (0.4)0.52 (0.34 to 0.79)0.89 (0.64 to 1.25)
     18523 (63.5)4529 (47.4)8166 (29.6)Ref.Ref.
     23859 (28.7)3235 (33.8)11474 (41.6)0.31 (0.29 to 0.32)0.50 (0.47 to 0.53)
     3731 (5.4)1057 (11.1)4369 (15.8)0.16 (0.14 to 0.17)0.42 (0.39 to 0.46)
     497 (0.7)269 (2.8)2062 (7.5)0.06 (0.05 to 0.07)0.25 (0.22 to 0.29)
     Unknown185 (1.4)405 (4.2)1409 (5.1)0.27 (0.22 to 0.32)0.55 (0.48 to 0.64)
    Histology< 0.0001
     Ductal10837 (79.6)7124 (73.2)20954 (74.6)Ref.Ref.
     Lobular1213 (8.9)926 (9.5)2350 (8.4)1.16 (1.07 to 1.26)1.28 (1.18 to 1.40)
     Ductal and lobular604 (4.4)441 (4.5)1147 (4.1)1.06 (0.95 to 1.19)1.16 (1.03 to 1.30)
     Adenocarcinoma292 (2.1)264 (2.7)740 (2.6)1.01 (0.86 to 1.18)1.22 (1.04 to 1.43)
     Mucinous224 (1.6)188 (1.9)542 (1.9)0.56 (0.47 to 0.66)0.90 (0.76 to 1.08)
     Other445 (3.3)795 (8.2)2374 (8.4)0.59 (0.53 to 0.67)1.18 (1.07 to 1.30)
    Hormone receptor profile< 0.0001
     ER−, PR−, HER2−895 (6.6)822 (8.4)2776 (9.9)Ref.Ref.
     ER−, PR−, HER2+402 (3.0)394 (4.0)1336 (4.8)0.98 (0.85 to 1.13)1.02 (0.88 to 1.17)
     ER−, PR+, HER2−29 (0.2)45 (0.5)144 (0.5)0.63 (0.41 to 0.98)1.08 (0.76 to 1.54)
     ER−, PR+, HER2+11 (0.1)15 (0.2)63 (0.2)0.78 (0.40 to 1.53)0.98 (0.55 to 1.75)
     ER+, PR−, HER2−923 (6.8)625 (6.4)1764 (6.3)1.47 (1.30 to 1.66)1.14 (1.01 to 1.29)
     ER+, PR−, HER2+274 (2.0)222 (2.3)744 (2.6)1.16 (0.98 to 1.37)1.03 (0.86 to 1.22)
     ER+, PR+, HER2−8736 (64.2)5347 (54.9)14412 (51.3)1.45 (1.33 to 1.59)1.11 (1.02 to 1.21)
     ER+, PR+, HER+742 (5.4)575 (5.9)1929 (6.9)1.15 (1.02 to 1.30)1.00 (0.88 to 1.14)
     Missing1603 (11.8)1693 (17.4)4939 (17.6)1.18 (1.05 to 1.31)1.16 (1.04 to 1.29)
    Topography< 0.0001
     Upper–outer quadrant5462 (40.1)3497 (35.9)9467 (33.7)Ref.Ref.
     Overlapping lesion2578 (18.9)1742 (17.9)5018 (17.9)0.92 (0.86 to 0.98)0.97 (0.91 to 1.04)
     Breast NOS811 (6.0)876 (9.0)3176 (11.3)0.63 (0.57 to 0.69)0.85 (0.77 to 0.93)
     Lower–outer quadrant1227 (9.0)948 (9.7)2602 (9.3)0.82 (0.75 to 0.89)0.99 (0.90 to 1.08)
     Upper–inner quadrant1986 (14.6)1260 (12.9)3567 (12.7)0.85 (0.79 to 0.91)0.91 (0.84 to 0.98)
     Lower–inner quadrant820 (6.0)578 (5.9)1630 (5.8)0.84 (0.76 to 0.93)0.93 (0.84 to 1.04)
     Central portion477 (3.5)539 (5.5)1692 (6.0)0.63 (0.56 to 0.71)1.00 (0.90 to 1.12)
     Nipple202 (1.5)233 (2.4)723 (2.6)0.58 (0.49 to 0.69)0.88 (0.75 to 1.04)
     Axillary tail52 (0.4)65 (0.7)232 (0.8)0.55 (0.39 to 0.76)0.87 (0.65 to 1.16)
    Other
    Year of diagnosis (row percentages provided)< 0.0001
     20132248 (16.5)1877 (19.3)5679 (20.2)Ref.Ref.
     20142625 (19.3)2007 (20.6)5563 (19.8)1.18 (1.10 to 1.27)1.09 (1.01 to 1.18)
     20152756 (20.2)1908 (19.6)5569 (19.8)1.25 (1.16 to 1.35)1.03 (0.96 to 1.12)
     20162915 (21.4)1983 (20.4)5679 (20.2)1.31 (1.22 to 1.41)1.06 (0.98 to 1.15)
     20173071 (22.6)1963 (20.2)5617 (20.0)1.42 (1.32 to 1.53)1.06 (0.98 to 1.15)
    • Note: CI = confidence interval, ER = estrogen receptor, HER2 = human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, NA = not applicable, NOS = not otherwise specified, O-BAS = OBSP-affiliated breast assessment site, OBSP = Ontario Breast Screening Program, OR = odds ratio, PR = progesterone receptor, Ref. = reference category.

    • ↵* n = 49 420; findings derived from a multinomial logistic regression adjusted for all variables in the table and Local Health Information Network. The p value is from a single multinomial multivariable model, representing the overall difference between the 3 groups (symptomatic v. OBSP-screened v. non-OBSP-screened), with the symptomatic group as the reference.

    • ↵† Adapted from Statistics Canada Postal Code Conversion File and Postal Code Conversion File Plus (June 2017), which is based on data licensed from Canada Post Corporation.16 We used the patient’s postal code at diagnosis.

    • ↵‡ Odds ratios reflect the odds of diagnosis in an O-BAS for every 100-km increase in Euclidean distance to the patient’s closest O-BAS. We used the patient’s postal code at diagnosis.

    • View popup
    Table 3:

    Factors associated with wait times

    CharacteristicDiagnostic intervalPretreatment interval
    Adjusted β (95% CI)*p valueAdjusted β (95% CI)*p value
    O-BAS
     NoRef.Ref.
     Yes−2.0 (−3.6 to −0.3)−3.9 (−4.7 to −3.2)
    Screening< 0.0001< 0.0001
     SymptomaticRef.Ref.
     OBSP-screened−24.8 (−26.2 to −23.3)−2.6 (−3.3 to −2.0)
     Non-OBSP-screened4.7 (3.3 to 6.3)−1.2 (−1.9 to −0.5)
    Sociodemographic
    Age (per 10-yr increment)−3.3 (−3.7 to −2.8)0.3 (0.1 to 0.5)
    Sex
     FemaleRef.Ref.
     Male−12.6 (−19.3 to −5.9)−2.4 (−5.3 to 0.6)
    Neighbourhood income quintile‡0.970.004
     HighestRef.Ref.
     Mid-high−0.4 (−2.2 to 1.4)0.3 (−0.5 to 1.1)
     Middle−0.1 (−2.0 to 1.7)0.6 (−0.2 to 1.4)
     Mid-low0.2 (−1.7 to 2.0)1.1 (0.3 to 1.9)
     Lowest0.2 (−1.7 to 2.2)1.6 (0.7 to 2.4)
    Neighbourhood immigrant density‡< 0.00010.18
     Least denseRef.Ref.
     Mid-dense3.7 (2.1 to 5.3)0.4 (−0.3 to 1.1)
     Most dense6.3 (4.2 to 8.4)0.9 (−0.1 to 1.9)
    Rurality‡
     UrbanRef.Ref.
     Rural−0.1 (−2.3 to 2.1)−1.0 (−1.9 to 0.0)
    Distance to closest O-BAS (per 100-km increment)§0.9 (−3.0 to 4.7)0.6 (−1.2 to 2.3)
    Clinical
    Charlson Comorbidity Index< 0.0001< 0.0001
     Missing−7.8 (−9.1 to −6.5)1.0 (0.4 to 1.5)
     0Ref.Ref.
     11.8 (−0.9 to 3.3)0.4 (−0.5 to 1.4)
     2−0.5 (−4.2 to 3.1)1.6 (−0.0 to 3.2)
     ≥ 3−1.8 (−6.0 to 2.4)5.5 (3.6 to 7.4)
    Previous breast cancer relative to diagnosis, yr< 0.0001< 0.0001
     NeverRef.Ref.
     ≤ 579.5 (72.4 to 86.6)−8.2 (−11.5 to −5.0)
     5–1034.9 (30.9 to 38.9)0.6 (−1.2 to 2.4)
     ≥ 1012.5 (9.8 to 15.3)0.5 (−0.8 to 1.7)
    Cancer
    Laterality0.010.22
     RightRef.Ref.
     Left0.3 (−0.9 to 1.5)−0.3 (−0.9 to 0.2)
     Bilateral−9.7 (−16.3 to −3.0)1.6 (−1.4 to 4.6)
    Cancer stage< 0.00010.0002
     011.4 (1.8 to 21.0)7.0 (2.7 to 11.2)
     1Ref.Ref.
     2−9.8 (−11.2 to −8.5)0.1 (−0.5 to 0.7)
     3−12.7 (−14.7 to −10.8)−1.2 (−2.0 to −0.3)
     4−21.1 (−24.3 to −17.9)1.0 (−0.3 to 2.4)
     Unknown8.7 (5.1 to 12.4)1.5 (−0.2 to 3.2)
    Histology< 0.0001< 0.0001
     DuctalRef.Ref.
     Lobular5.4 (3.3 to 7.5)4.2 (3.3 to 5.1)
     Ductal and lobular0.9 (−2.0 to 3.7)4.9 (3.6 to 6.2)
     Adenocarcinoma6.0 (2.1 to 9.9)−0.1 (−1.8 to 1.6)
     Mucinous7.7 (3.4 to 11.9)−3.8 (−5.7 to −1.9)
     Other3.8 (1.4 to 6.4)1.0 (−0.1 to 2.1)
    Hormone receptor profile0.00070.004
     ER−, PR−, HER2−Ref.Ref.
     ER−, PR−, HER2+1.4 (−2.0 to 4.8)−0.7 (−2.2 to 0.8)
     ER−, PR+, HER2−−1.8 (−10.8 to 7.1)−1.6 (−5,7 to 2.4)
     ER−, PR+, HER2+2.3 (−11.6 to 16.3)0.6 (−5,5 to 6.6)
     ER+, PR−, HER2−2.7 (−0.3 to 5.7)−0.3 (−1.6 to 1.1)
     ER+, PR−, HER2+−1.9 (−6.0 to 2.2)0.7 (−1.1 to 2.6)
     ER+, PR+, HER2−−0.1 (−2.3 to 2.0)1.3 (0.3 to 2.2)
     ER+, PR+, HER+−1.1 (−4.1 to 1.9)0.6 (−0.7 to 1.9)
     Missing3.4 (0.8 to 6.1)1.4 (0.2 to 2.6)
    Topography< 0.0001< 0.0001
     Upper-outer quadrantRef.Ref.
     Overlapping lesion1.9 (0.2 to 3.6)0.1 (−0.6 to 0.9)
     Breast NOS9.3 (7.1 to 11.6)−3.0 (−4.1 to −2.0)
     Lower-outer quadrant1.0 (−1.1 to 3.1)0.2 (−0.7 to 1.2)
     Upper-inner quadrant−0.0 (−1.8 to 1.9)−0.0 (−0.8 to 0.8)
     Lower-inner quadrant0.4 (−2.1 to 3.0)0.2 (−0.7 to 1.2)
     Central portion3.7 (1.0 to 6.4)−1.3 (−2.5 to −0.1)
     Nipple10.6 (6.5 to 14.7)1.2 (−1.6 to 2.0)
     Axillary tail1.0 (−6.1 to 8.1)1.9 (−1.2 to 5.1)
    Other
    Year of diagnosis< 0.0001< 0.0001
     2013Ref.Ref.
     2014−1.6 (−3.4 to 0.3)−1.3 (−2.2 to −0.5)
     2015−3.3 (−5.2 to −1.5)−2.0 (−2.8 to −1.1)
     2016−4.2 (−6.0 to −2.3)−2.2 (−3.0 to −1.4)
     2017−2.6 (−4.4 to −0.8)−2.1 (−2.9 to −1.3)
    • Note: CI = confidence interval, ER = estrogen receptor, HER2 = human epidermal growth factor receptor-2, NOS = not otherwise specified, O-BAS = OBSP-affiliated breast assessment site, OBSP = Ontario Breast Screening Program, OR = odds ratio, PR = progesterone receptor, Ref. = reference category.

    • ↵* Diagnostic interval is the time from suspicion of breast cancer until diagnosis (overall mean 62 d, standard deviation [SD] 65.6 d; median 35 d, interquartile range [IQR] 19–82 d). Pre-treatment interval is the time from diagnosis of breast cancer until first treatment (overall mean 38 d, SD 29.5 d; median 34 d, IQR 23–47 d.

    • † Adjusted for O-BAS status, screening status, age, neighbourhood income quintile, neighbourhood immigrant density, rurality, distance to the closest O-BAS, Charlson Comorbidity Index, previous breast cancer, laterality, cancer stage, hormone receptor profile, topography, year of diagnosis and level of geography (Local Health Integration Network). β coefficients reflect the effect of a 1-unit change in the patient or tumour characteristic on the duration of the time interval, in days.

    • ↵‡ Adapted from Statistics Canada Postal Code Conversion File and Postal Code Conversion File Plus (June 2017), which is based on data licensed from Canada Post Corporation.16 We used the patient’s postal code at diagnosis.

    • ↵§ β coefficients reflect the effect of a 100-km change in Euclidean distance to the patient’s closest O-BAS. We used the patient’s postal code at diagnosis.

    • View popup
    Table 4:

    Health care use among patients with breast cancer who were or were not referred to a Breast Assessment Site affiliated with the Ontario Breast Screening Program

    Type of encounter*Non-O-BASO-BAS
    No. (%) of patients
    n = 8862
    Days from encounter to diagnosis,
    median (IQR)†
    No. (%) of patients
    n = 42 598
    Days from encounter to diagnosis, median (IQR)†
    Mammography
     Screening mammography2683 (30.3)25 (14 to 41)18614 (43.7)23 (14 to 39)
     Diagnostic mammography (first)6929 (78.2)14 (3 to 28)38708 (90.9)11 (0 to 23)
     Diagnostic mammography (second)3726 (42.0)6 (−2 to 20)25585 (60.1)0 (0 to 14)
     Diagnostic mammography (third)1360 (15.3)0 (−32 to 0)12509 (29.4)0 (−30 to 0)
     Any mammography7386 (83.3)17 (7 to 34)40858 (95.9)17 (7 to 32)
    Other imaging
     Breast ultrasonography (first)7278 (82.1)8 (0 to 20)40155 (94.3)5 (0 to 17)
     Breast ultrasonography (second)7114 (80.3)12 (1 to 23)39736 (93.3)9 (0 to 21)
     Breast ultrasonography (third)3900 (44.0)0 (0 to 1)22379 (52.5)0 (0)
     Abdominal or thoracic ultrasonography1832 (20.7)0 (−22 to 43)8129 (19.1)−9 (−22 to 47)
     Abdominal or thoracic computed tomography3368 (38.0)−6 (−22 to 9.5)10547 (24.8)−14 (−25 to 0)
     Breast magnetic resonance imaging1168 (13.2)−20 (−31 to −9)9635 (22.6)−14 (−24 to −5)
     Abdominal or thoracic magnetic resonance imaging1739 (19.6)−15 (−27 to 2)11250 (26.4)−13 (−23 to 0)
     Chest radiography4300 (48.5)0 (−21 to 40)16738 (39.3)−11 (−26 to 35)
    Biopsy
     Breast biopsy7543 (85.1)0 (0 to 0)41160 (96.6)0 (0)
     Lymph node biopsy789 (8.9)0 (−11 to 0)3711 (8.7)0 (−5 to 0)
     Any biopsy7723 (87.1)0 (0)41804 (98.1)0 (0)
    Consultations and visits
     General or general thoracic surgeon7690 (86.8)−1 (−14 to 9)41300 (97.0)−8 (−16 to 3)
     Cardiac surgery consult52 (0.6)53 (−9 to 121)149 (0.3)87 (7 to 149)
     Dermatology consult556 (6.3)86 (22 to 138)3088 (7.2)84 (27 to 140)
     Cardiology consult632 (7.1)55 (0.5 to 128)2619 (6.1)63 (−2 to 127)
     Primary care provider visit4337 (48.9)44 (3 to 115)17059 (40.0)59 (12 to 123)
     Medical oncology consult2310 (26.1)−22 (−36 to −11)6180 (14.5)−19 (−30 to −11)
     Internal medicine consult2131 (24.0)0 (−18 to 81)7529 (17.7)10 (−21 to 104)
     Radiation oncology consult1443 (16.3)−22 (−36 to −10)4117 (9.7)−20 (−33 to −10)
    First visit
     Earliest of any of the above until diagnosis8056 (90.9)53 (20 to 128)39822 (93.5)49 (19 to 125)
     Earliest of any of the above until diagnosis (including diagnosis date)8862 (100.0)42 (14 to 121)42598 (100.0)42 (15 to 119)
     Suspicion date until diagnosis7788 (87.9)39 (20 to 92)40052 (94.0)35 (18 to 79)
    • Note: IQR = interquartile range, O-BAS = OBSP-affiliated breast assessment site, OBSP = Ontario Breast Screening Program,

    • ↵* We collected health care encounter and timing of health care encounter relative to the diagnosis date from the Ontario Cancer Registry. We included encounters if they occurred within 6 months before diagnosis until the start of treatment (or 60 days after diagnosis, if no treatment). We identified encounters using billing codes from the Ontario Health Insurance Program, or procedural codes from the Discharge Abstract Database (inpatient) and the National Ambulatory Care Reporting System (outpatient).

    • ↵† Positive values indicate the encounter occurred before diagnosis; negative values indicate the encounter occurred after diagnosis.

    • View popup
    Table 5:

    Factors associated with all-cause mortality

    FactorCrudeAdjusted
    HR (95% CI)p valueHR (95% CI)*p value
    O-BAS
     NoRef.Ref.
     Yes0.41 (0.39 to 0.43)0.72 (0.68 to 0.76)
    Screening status< 0.0001< 0.0001
     SymptomaticRef.Ref.
     OBSP-screened0.30 (0.27 to 0.33)0.72 (0.66 to 0.79)
     Non-OBSP-screened0.43 (0.40 to 0.46)0.67 (0.62 to 0.72)
    Sociodemographic
    Age (per 10-yr increment)1.62 (1.59 to 1.65)1.49 (1.46 to 1.51)
    Sex
     FemaleRef.Ref.
     Male2.29 (1.91 to 2.74)1.43 (1.18 to 1.74)
    Neighbourhood income quintile†< 0.0001< 0.0001
     HighestRef.Ref.
     Mid-high1.18 (1.09 to 1.28)1.13 (1.04 to 1.23)
     Middle1.29 (1.19 to 1.40)1.15 (1.06 to 1.25)
     Mid-low1.45 (1.34 to 1.56)1.18 (1.09 to 1.28)
     Lowest1.71 (1.58 to 1.84)1.29 (1.19 to 1.40)
    Neighbourhood immigrant density†< 0.0001< 0.0001
     Least denseRef.Ref.
     Mid-dense0.88 (0.83 to 0.93)0.97 (0.91 to 1.04)
     Most dense0.84 (0.79 to 0.90)0.93 (0.85 to 1.03)
    Rurality†
     UrbanRef.Ref.
     Rural1.09 (1.00 to 1.16)0.94 (0.86 to 1.03)
    Distance to closest O-BAS (per 100-km increment)‡1.17 (1.04 to 1.30)0.90 (0.77 to 1.05)
    Clinical
    Charlson Comorbidity Index< 0.0001< 0.0001
     Missing0.73 (0.69 to 0.77)0.87 (0.82 to 0.92)
     0Ref.Ref.
     11.75 (1.63 to 1.88)1.33 (1.23 to 1.44)
     22.79 (2.52 to 3.08)1.66 (1.50 to 1.85)
     ≥ 34.56 (4.15 to 5.02)2.55 (2.31 to 2.82)
    Previous breast cancer relative to diagnosis, yr< 0.0001< 0.0001
     NeverRef.Ref.
     ≤ 52.06 (1.68 to 2.52)1.65 (1.34 to 2.03)
     5–101.55 (1.36 to 1.77)1.10 (0.95 to 1.26)
     ≥ 101.39 (1.26 to 1.53)0.98 (0.88 to 1.08)
    Previous other cancer relative to diagnosis, yr< 0.0001< 0.0001
     NeverRef.Ref.
     ≤ 52.26 (2.04 to 2.50)1.63 (1.46 to 1.82)
     5–101.72 (1.47 to 2.01)1.27 (1.08 to 1.49)
     ≥ 101.74 (1.55 to 1.96)1.25 (1.11 to 1.42)
    Cancer
    Laterality< 0.00010.01
     RightRef.Ref.
     Left1.00 (0.95 to 1.05)0.96 (0.91 to 1.01)
     Bilateral1.84 (1.50 to 2.27)1.26 (1.02 to 1.56)
    Cancer stage< 0.0001< 0.0001
     01.31 (0.79 to 2.18)0.94 (0.55 to 1.61)
     1Ref.Ref.
     22.12 (1.97 to 2.28)1.80 (1.66 to 1.94)
     34.62 (4.27 to 5.01)4.10 (3.77 to 4.46)
     418.4 (17.0 to 19.9)13.0 (11.9 to 14.2)
     Unknown7.68 (6.96 to 8.46)3.72 (3.30 to 4.19)
    Histology< 0.0001< 0.0001
     DuctalRef.Ref.
     Lobular1.13 (1.04 to 1.23)0.89 (0.82 to 0.98)
     Ductal and lobular1.03 (0.91 to 1.16)0.99 (0.88 to 1.13)
     Adenocarcinoma2.07 (1.84 to 2.33)0.99 (0.86 to 1.06)
     Mucinous0.79 (0.64 to 0.97)0.88 (0.72 to 1.09)
     Other2.53 (2.26 to 2.71)1.22 (1.12 to 1.31)
    Hormone receptor profile< 0.0001< 0.0001
     ER−, PR−, HER2−Ref.Ref.
     ER−, PR−, HER2+0.62 (0.55 to 0.70)0.50 (0.44 to 0.57)
     ER−, PR+, HER2−1.07 (0.81 to 1.42)1.23 (0.93 to 1.63)
     ER−, PR+, HER2+0.76 (0.47 to 1.23)0.47 (0.29 to 0.75)
     ER+, PR−, HER2−0.76 (0.69 to 0.85)0.62 (0.55 to 0.69)
     ER+, PR−, HER2+0.64 (0.55 to 0.75)0.52 (0.44 to 0.61)
     ER+, PR+, HER2−0.40 (0.37 to 0.43)0.37 (0.34 to 0.40)
     ER+, PR+, HER2+0.42 (0.37 to 0.48)0.39 (0.34 to 0.44)
     Missing0.95 (0.88 to 1.03)0.53 (0.48 to 0.58)
    Topography< 0.0001< 0.0001
     Upper–outer quadrantRef.Ref.
     Overlapping lesion1.26 (1.18 to 1.36)1.09 (1.02 to 1.17)
     Breast NOS2.80 (2.61 to 3.01)1.41 (1.30 to 1.52)
     Lower–outer quadrant1.03 (0.94 to 1.14)1.05 (0.95 to 1.15)
     Upper–inner quadrant0.90 (0.83 to 0.98)0.97 (0.89 to 1.06)
     Lower–inner quadrant1.05 (0.93 to 1.17)1.02 (0.91 to 1.14)
     Central portion1.40 (1.26 to 1.55)1.05 (0.94 to 1.17)
     Nipple1.28 (1.09 to 1.50)0.90 (0.76 to 1.06)
     Axillary tail2.37 (1.91 to 2.93)1.48 (1.18 to 1.84)
    • Note: CI = confidence interval, ER = estrogen receptor, HER2 = human epidermal growth factor receptor-2, HR = hazard ratio, NOS = not otherwise specified, O-BAS = OBSP-affiliated breast assessment site, OBSP = Ontario Breast Screening Program, PR = progesterone receptor, Ref. = reference category.

    • ↵* n = 49 383 patients and 6402 events; all estimates are adjusted for O-BAS status, screening status, age, neighbourhood income quintile, neighbourhood immigrant density, rurality, distance to the closest O-BAS, Charlson Comorbidity Index, previous breast cancer, laterality, cancer stage, hormone receptor profile, topography, year of diagnosis and level of geography (Local Health Integration Network).

    • ↵† Adapted from Statistics Canada Postal Code Conversion File and Postal Code Conversion File Plus (June 2017), which is based on data licensed from Canada Post Corporation.16 We used the patient’s postal code at diagnosis.

    • ↵‡ Hazard ratios reflect the risk of death for every 100-km increase in Euclidean distance to the patient’s closest O-BAS. We used the patient’s postal code at diagnosis.

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CMAJ Open: 10 (2)
Vol. 10, Issue 2
1 Apr 2022
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Differences in breast cancer diagnosis by patient presentation in Ontario: a retrospective cohort study
Steven Habbous, Esha Homenauth, Andriana Barisic, Sharmilaa Kandasamy, Vicky Majpruz, Katharina Forster, Marta Yurcan, Anna M. Chiarelli, Patti Groome, Claire M.B. Holloway, Andrea Eisen
Apr 2022, 10 (2) E313-E330; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20210254

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Differences in breast cancer diagnosis by patient presentation in Ontario: a retrospective cohort study
Steven Habbous, Esha Homenauth, Andriana Barisic, Sharmilaa Kandasamy, Vicky Majpruz, Katharina Forster, Marta Yurcan, Anna M. Chiarelli, Patti Groome, Claire M.B. Holloway, Andrea Eisen
Apr 2022, 10 (2) E313-E330; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20210254
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