Relative risk of matching to one’s first-choice discipline from log-binomial regression, including results stratified by 3-category discipline
| Variable | RR (95% CI) for unstratified adjusted model* | Discipline category; RR (95% CI) for stratified adjusted model† | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Family medicine | Nonsurgical disciplines‡ | Surgical disciplines§ | ||
| Total no. of applicants | 20 033 | 7144 | 9298 | 3591 |
| Gender | ||||
| Male | 1.0 (Ref.) | 1.0 (Ref.) | 1.0 (Ref.) | 1.0 (Ref.) |
| Female | 1.03 (1.02–1.04) | 1.04 (1.03–1.05) | 1.01 (0.99–1.03) | 0.95 (0.91–1.00) |
| Year | ||||
| 2013 | 1.0 (Ref.) | 1.0 (Ref.) | 1.0 (Ref.) | 1.0 (Ref.) |
| 2014 | 0.99 (0.98–1.00) | 0.99 (0.97–1.00) | 0.98 (0.94–1.01) | 1.05 (0.98–1.13) |
| 2015 | 0.99 (0.98–1.00) | 1.00 (0.98–1.01) | 0.95 (0.91–0.98) | 1.06 (0.98–1.14) |
| 2016 | 0.99 (0.97–1.00) | 1.00 (0.98–1.01) | 0.92 (0.89–0.96) | 0.99 (0.92–1.07) |
| 2017 | 0.98 (0.97–1.00) | 1.00 (0.98–1.01) | 0.90 (0.87–0.94) | 0.94 (0.87–1.02) |
| 2018 | 0.98 (0.96–0.99) | 1.00 (0.98–1.01) | 0.92 (0.88–0.95) | 0.83 (0.76–0.90) |
| 2019 | 0.98 (0.96–0.99) | 0.99 (0.98–1.00) | 0.90 (0.87–0.94) | 0.96 (0.88–1.04) |
| Discipline | ||||
| Family medicine | 1.0 (Ref.) | – | – | – |
| Nonsurgical‡ | 0.83 (0.82–0.84) | – | – | – |
| Surgical§ | 0.72 (0.70–0.74) | – | – | – |
Note: CI = confidence interval, Ref. = reference category, RR = relative risk.
↵* Controlled for gender, year (categorical) and 3-category discipline, with no interaction terms.
↵† Controlled for gender and year (categorical).
↵‡ Anatomic pathology, anesthesiology, dermatology, diagnostic radiology, emergency medicine, general pathology, hematologic pathology, internal medicine, laboratory medicine, medical genetics, medical microbiology, neurology, neurology – pediatric, neuropathology, nuclear medicine, pediatrics, physical medicine and rehabilitation, psychiatry, public health and preventive medicine, and radiation oncology.
↵§ Cardiac surgery, general surgery, neurosurgery, obstetrics and gynecology, ophthalmology, orthopedic surgery, otolaryngology, plastic surgery, urology and vascular surgery.