Table 2:

Impact of opioid prescribing standards and guidelines on drug use among patients with long-term opioid use

AnalysisNo. of patientsMeasures in prepolicy period*Impact on outcome levelImpact on outcome trend
Historical control cohortPolicy cohortHistorical control cohortPolicy cohort
Monthly MME, mean ± SDAdjusted difference (95% CI)Adjusted difference (95% CI)
Opioid analgesic use68 42968 1131770 ± 42001625 ± 3860−57 (−74 to −39)−6.8 (−9.9 to −3.8)
DiscontinuationMonthly discontinuation, %Adjusted OR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)
 Discontinuation of opioid use§66 20365 7912.52.61.24 (1.16 to 1.32)1.00 (0.98 to 1.01)
 Discontinuation among high-dose opioid users13 92212 4090.60.61.21 (0.91 to 1.59)0.98 (0.94 to 1.03)
 Discontinuation of concurrent opioid and sedative/hypnotic use**28 48326 5069.29.41.37 (1.27 to 1.49)0.99 (0.97 to 1.00)
SwitchingMonthly switching, %Adjusted OR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)
 Switching from high-dose to lower-dose opioid13 92212 4092.52.61.88 (1.63 to 2.17)0.99 (0.97 to 1.01)
InitiationMonthly initiation, %Adjusted OR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)
 Initiation of concurrent opioid and sedative/hypnotic use**54 93456 4412.12.01.10 (1.02 to 1.18)0.98 (0.97 to 0.99)
  • Note: CI = confidence interval, MME = milligrams of morphine equivalents, OR = odds ratio, SD = standard deviation.

  • * Calculated based on all monthly observations during the 12-month prepolicy period for the policy cohort and corresponding period for the historical control cohort.

  • “Impact on outcome level” measures a sudden change following implementation of a policy, whereas “impact on outcome trend” measures gradual change occurring each month following implementation of a policy.

  • Adjusted for patient-level covariates, including demographic variables, medical history and prescription drug use.

  • § Analysis of discontinuation of opioids included only patients who had a prescription with sufficient days’ supply to end in a given month.

  • Analyses of discontinuation of high-dose opioids and switching from high-dose to lower-dose opioids included patients who had received a high-dose prescription (with a daily dosage > 90 mg of morphine equivalents) ending in a given month.

  • ** Concurrent use was defined as overlapping supply according to the date and days’ supply dispensed. Analysis of discontinuation of concurrent use of opioids and sedatives/hypnotics included patients with concurrent use and an opioid or sedative/hypnotic prescription ending in a given month; analysis of initiation of concurrent use of these medications included only patients without concurrent use in the 180 days before the current month.