Table 3: Predictors of total costs and of the 3 most important cost elements overall (other than social assistance/disability benefits)
VariableCost element*†Total
Ambulatory visitsPsychiatric hospital staysJustice-related services‡
Unadjusted OR§¶
(95% CI)
Adjusted OR§¶
(95% CI)
Unadjusted OR§¶
(95% CI)
Adjusted OR§¶
(95% CI)
Unadjusted OR§¶
(95% CI)
Adjusted OR§¶
(95% CI)
Unadjusted OR§¶
(95% CI)
Adjusted OR§¶
(95% CI)
Site
    Montréal v. Moncton1.00
(0.68-1.47)
0.98
(0.68-1.41)
3.75
(1.16-12.09)
2.34
(0.63-8.71)
1.52
(0.94-2.48)
1.28
(0.77-2.13)
1.94(1.56-2.42)1.85(1.50-2.27)
    Toronto v. Moncton2.12(1.46-3.10)1.99(1.38-2.86)2.50
(0.81-7.71)
0.93
(0.25-3.42)
2.16(1.35-3.47)1.57
(0.94-2.62)
1.94(1.56-2.40)1.77(1.44-2.17)
    Winnipeg v. Moncton1.62
(1.11-2.36)
1.61
(1.11-2.32)
1.56
(0.48-5.02)
1.12
(0.28-4.44)
1.61
(0.99-2.61)
1.40
(0.82-2.39)
1.56(1.25-1.94)1.60(1.30-1.98)
    Vancouver v. Moncton1.37
(0.93-2.01)
1.13
(0.78-1.63)
4.76(1.47-15.45)2.77
(0.74-10.44)
1.22
(0.75-1.98)
0.76
(0.46-1.26)
1.85(1.48-2.31)1.58(1.28-1.95)
Age0.99
(0.98-1.00)
1.00
(0.99-1.00)
0.99
(0.97-1.02)
0.96
(0.93-1.00)
0.97(0.95-0.98)0.97(0.96-0.99)1.00
(0.99-1.00)
1.00
(0.99-1.00)
Female v. male sex1.05
(0.84-1.32)
1.18
(0.96-1.44)
0.93
(0.52-1.65)
1.37
(0.63-2.95)
0.55(0.42-0.71)0.63(0.47-0.84)0.93
(0.83-1.05)
1.03
(0.92-1.15)
Psychotic disorder1.38(1.08-1.76)1.05
(0.84-1.33)
3.08(1.57-6.06)2.01
(0.76-5.28)
1.39
(1.04-1.87)
1.06
(0.77-1.45)
1.28(1.13-1.46)1.04
(0.92-1.18)
Alcohol dependence or abuse at baseline1.34
(1.09-1.66)
1.12
(0.92-1.38)
0.57
(0.32-1.00)
0.38(0.19-0.76)1.84(1.42-2.37)1.53(1.15-2.02)1.09
(0.98-1.22)
1.07
(0.96-1.19)
Illicit drug dependence or abuse at baseline1.11
(0.89-1.38)
1.05
(0.86-1.29)
0.74
(0.43-1.26)
0.43
(0.21-0.89)
1.89(1.46-2.44)1.35
(1.02-1.80)
1.06
(0.95-1.19)
1.00
(0.89-1.12)
Longest single period of homelessness in years1.01
(0.98-1.05)
1.00
(0.97-1.02)
1.05
(0.98-1.12)
1.05
(0.97-1.14)
1.06(1.02-1.10)1.03
(0.99-1.07)
1.03(1.01-1.05)1.01
(1.00-1.03)
Functioning as measured by MCAS (10 points)0.84(0.74-0.96)0.87
(0.76-0.99)
0.41(0.29-0.58)0.56(0.38-0.81)0.75(0.65-0.87)0.78(0.67-0.92)0.81(0.76-0.86)0.85(0.80-0.91)
≥ 2 psychiatric hospital stays in 1 of the 5 yr before baseline1.57(1.28-1.92)1.48(1.21-1.81)4.94(2.83-8.63)5.10(2.51-10.34)1.20
(0.94-1.54)
1.11
(0.85-1.46)
1.47(1.32-1.64)1.35(1.21-1.51)
 1 arrests in 6 mo before baseline1.18
(0.95-1.46)
1.07
(0.88-1.30)
0.81
(0.46-1.43)
0.80
(0.35-1.83)
2.98(2.29-3.89)2.47(1.89-3.23)1.23(1.09-1.38)1.15
(1.03-1.28)

Note: CI = confidence interval, MCAS = Multnomah Community Ability Scale, OR = odds ratio.

*In the unadjusted columns, each row shows the coefficient and CI from a regression including only that variable; in the adjusted columns, coefficients and CIs from a single multiple regression including all the listed variables are shown.

†Coefficients with a p value of less than 0.01 (rather than 0.05 owing to the large number of comparisons) and their 95% CIs are bolded.

‡Includes police, court appearances and incarcerations.

§Indicates the fraction by which costs rise or fall when predictor is equal to 1, or when it increases by 1 unit (10 units in the case of the MCAS).

¶Data were best fit with a log link function and γ distribution.