Table 1: State-level characteristics associated with trends in Lyme disease incidence in the United States from 1993 to 2007
Univariable modelMultivariable model
Characteristicβ coefficient (95% CI)p valueβ coefficient (95% CI)p value
Geography
Latitude of state centroid0.014 (0.0073 to 0.021)< 0.0010.014 (0.0075 to 0.021)< 0.001
Longitude of state centroid0.00049 (–0.00084 to 0.0018)0.5
Environment
% national wilderness (2000)0.00047 (–0.0041 to 0.0050)0.8
New housing permits, thousands (2002)–0.00060 (–0.0017 to 0.00047)0.3
Demography
% change in population between 1990 and 2000 censuses–0.0016 (–0.0075 to 0.0042)0.6
Population density, thousands per km2 (2000)0.069 (–0.0050 to 0.14)0.070.070 (0.0049 to 0.14)0.04
% rural residents (2000)0.00017 (–0.0025 to 0.0028)0.9
Politics and economy
Log of per capita GDP (2000)0.19 (–0.022 to 0.41)0.08
Democrat- v. Republican-voting state (2004)0.10 (0.030 to 0.18)0.006
Per capita health spending per 100 population (2002)0.00025 (–0.00015 to 0.00065)0.2
Income inequality, Gini coefficient (1999)–1.00 (–2.50 to 0.50)0.2

Note: CI = confidence interval, GDP = gross domestic product.