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# Efficacy of a “stay-at-home” policy on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Toronto, Canada: a mathematical modelling study

Pei Yuan, Juan Li, Elena Aruffo, Evgenia Gatov, Qi Li, Tingting Zheng, Nicholas H. Ogden, Beate Sander, Jane Heffernan, Sarah Collier, Yi Tan, Jun Li, Julien Arino, Jacques Bélair, James Watmough, Jude Dzevela Kong, Iain Moyles and Huaiping Zhu

April 19, 2022 10 (2) E367-E378; DOI: https://doi.org/10.9778/cmajo.20200242

Pei Yuan

Canadian Centre for Disease Modeling (Yuan, Juan Li, Aruffo, Q. Li, Zheng, Heffernan, Tan, Jun Li, Arino, Bélair, Watmough, Kong, Moyles, Zhu), and Department of Mathematics and Statistics (Yuan, Aruffo, Heffernan, Tan, Kong, Moyles, Zhu), York University, Toronto, Ont.; Complex Systems Research Center (Juan Li), Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China; Toronto Public Health (Gatov, Collier), City of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Mathematics (Q. Li), Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, China; College of Mathematics and System Science (Zheng), Xinjiang University, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China; Public Health Risk Sciences Division (Ogden), National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Sainte-Hyacinthe, Que.; Toronto Health Economics and Technology Assessment (THETA) Collaborative (Sander), University Health Network; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Sander), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; School of Mathematics and Statistics (Jun Li), Xidian University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China; Department of Mathematics (Arino), University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.; Département de mathématiques et de statistique (Bélair), Université de Montréal, Montréal, Que.; Department of Mathematics and Statistics (Watmough), University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, NB

PhDJuan Li

Canadian Centre for Disease Modeling (Yuan, Juan Li, Aruffo, Q. Li, Zheng, Heffernan, Tan, Jun Li, Arino, Bélair, Watmough, Kong, Moyles, Zhu), and Department of Mathematics and Statistics (Yuan, Aruffo, Heffernan, Tan, Kong, Moyles, Zhu), York University, Toronto, Ont.; Complex Systems Research Center (Juan Li), Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China; Toronto Public Health (Gatov, Collier), City of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Mathematics (Q. Li), Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, China; College of Mathematics and System Science (Zheng), Xinjiang University, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China; Public Health Risk Sciences Division (Ogden), National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Sainte-Hyacinthe, Que.; Toronto Health Economics and Technology Assessment (THETA) Collaborative (Sander), University Health Network; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Sander), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; School of Mathematics and Statistics (Jun Li), Xidian University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China; Department of Mathematics (Arino), University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.; Département de mathématiques et de statistique (Bélair), Université de Montréal, Montréal, Que.; Department of Mathematics and Statistics (Watmough), University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, NB

PhDElena Aruffo

Canadian Centre for Disease Modeling (Yuan, Juan Li, Aruffo, Q. Li, Zheng, Heffernan, Tan, Jun Li, Arino, Bélair, Watmough, Kong, Moyles, Zhu), and Department of Mathematics and Statistics (Yuan, Aruffo, Heffernan, Tan, Kong, Moyles, Zhu), York University, Toronto, Ont.; Complex Systems Research Center (Juan Li), Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China; Toronto Public Health (Gatov, Collier), City of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Department of Mathematics (Q. Li), Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, China; College of Mathematics and System Science (Zheng), Xinjiang University, Urumqi, Xinjiang, China; Public Health Risk Sciences Division (Ogden), National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Sainte-Hyacinthe, Que.; Toronto Health Economics and Technology Assessment (THETA) Collaborative (Sander), University Health Network; Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Sander), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; School of Mathematics and Statistics (Jun Li), Xidian University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China; Department of Mathematics (Arino), University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Man.; Département de mathématiques et de statistique (Bélair), Université de Montréal, Montréal, Que.; Department of Mathematics and Statistics (Watmough), University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, NB

PhDEvgenia Gatov

Qi Li

Tingting Zheng

Nicholas H. Ogden

Beate Sander

Jane Heffernan

Sarah Collier

Yi Tan

Jun Li

Julien Arino

Jacques Bélair

James Watmough

Jude Dzevela Kong

Iain Moyles

Huaiping Zhu

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Efficacy of a “stay-at-home” policy on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Toronto, Canada: a mathematical modelling study

Pei Yuan, Juan Li, Elena Aruffo, Evgenia Gatov, Qi Li, Tingting Zheng, Nicholas H. Ogden, Beate Sander, Jane Heffernan, Sarah Collier, Yi Tan, Jun Li, Julien Arino, Jacques Bélair, James Watmough, Jude Dzevela Kong, Iain Moyles, Huaiping Zhu

Apr 2022, 10 (2) E367-E378; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20200242

Efficacy of a “stay-at-home” policy on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Toronto, Canada: a mathematical modelling study

Pei Yuan, Juan Li, Elena Aruffo, Evgenia Gatov, Qi Li, Tingting Zheng, Nicholas H. Ogden, Beate Sander, Jane Heffernan, Sarah Collier, Yi Tan, Jun Li, Julien Arino, Jacques Bélair, James Watmough, Jude Dzevela Kong, Iain Moyles, Huaiping Zhu

Apr 2022, 10 (2) E367-E378; DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20200242

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